Rassoul Ndiaye
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rassoul Ndiaye's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-8.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.2M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.5M-12.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.59x the positional average in the league (2577 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 59
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 51.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €7.2M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2577 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1480
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.5M – €12.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 50 pts; relative output up 35% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -35% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 33 | 2577 | 84% | 4 | 4 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 1480 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 27 | 1057 | 35% | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 1469 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 19 | 524 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1475 | 1351 | 0.87 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toma Bašić Ligue 1 · 2021 | 25 | €9.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Fernando Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Răzvan Marin Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Abdoulaye Doucouré Ligue 1 · 2015 | 22 | €4.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Daniel Didavi Bundesliga · 2016 | 26 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Riccardo Saponara Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €15.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Panagiotis Tachtsidis Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Eduardo Ligue 1 · 2015 | 26 | €5.5M | €4.6M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2023 | FC Sochaux | Le Havre AC | €1.5M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Sochaux U17 | FC Sochaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Sochaux Jugend | FC Sochaux U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Besançon Jugend | Sochaux Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.