Răzvan Marin

30 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Romania
Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.4M – €4.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.2M – €7.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.4M – €3.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.1M – €6.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €4.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €7.8M
Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Răzvan Marin's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-7.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-3.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.45x the positional average in the league (1667 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 39

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average72.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €2.3M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-47% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1667 (71% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.54
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.32
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
73 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1512
Opponent strength
1228
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.4M – €3.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 30 pts; changed club; team strength up (+143 Elo); league level down (-223 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -52% to -19%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1667 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Athlitiki Enosi KonstantinoupoleosSuper League 1CM25166771%370.540.32122815120.43
2024/25Cagliari CalcioSerie ACM33139541%320.320.37149213680.99
2023/24FC EmpoliSerie ADM30181853%030.150.17149313880.98
2022/23FC EmpoliSerie ADM33254074%240.210.26146713880.94
2021/22Cagliari CalcioSerie ACM36281582%060.190.23148513100.89
2020/21Cagliari CalcioSerie ACM37297587%360.270.29146313730.90
2019/20Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieCM1050322%010.180.08132916800.62
2018/19Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM28229985%550.390.25136414720.65
2017/18Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM27206877%470.480.30137214080.63
2016/17Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueCM953120%010.170.16133813830.62

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos5392101460
2025/26Kypello ElladasAthlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos26000—
2024/25Italy CupCagliari Calcio214801—
2023/24Italy CupFC Empoli15800—
2022/23Italy CupFC Empoli18300—
2021/22Italy CupCagliari Calcio19010—
2020/21Italy CupCagliari Calcio216000—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam4116001493
2019/20Knvb BekerAjax Amsterdam29901—
2019/20Johan Cruijff SchaalAjax Amsterdam190001642
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège6496011480
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingStandard Liège2180001621
2018/19Volkswagen SupercupStandard Liège190001527
2016/17Uefa Europa League QualifyingFCV Farul Constanta2114001478

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Maurício
Super League 1 · 2018
30€3.5M€2.4Mfell
Konstantinos Fortounis
Super League 1 · 2024
32€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Scott Arfield
Scottish Premiership · 2019
31€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Sergiy Sydorchuk
Premier Liga · 2020
29€3.5M€5.0Mrose
Kris Commons
Scottish Premiership · 2014
31€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Salih Uçan
Super Lig · 2023
29€4.7M€2.0Mfell
Niclas Eliasson
Super League 1 · 2024
29€4.5M€3.0Mfell
Miha Zajc
Super Lig · 2022
28€6.0M€2.4Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2025CagliariAEK Athens€1.7M€3.5M
30 Jun 2024FC EmpoliCagliariFree / loan€2.7M
5 Jul 2022CagliariFC EmpoliFree / loan€12.0M
1 Jul 2021AjaxCagliari€6.9M€15.0M
30 Jun 2021CagliariAjaxFree / loan€15.0M
1 Sept 2020AjaxCagliariFree / loan€8.0M
1 Jul 2019Standard LiègeAjax€12.5M€13.5M
20 Jan 2017FC ViitorulStandard Liège€4.8M€2.0M
1 Jan 2014FC Viitorul U19FC ViitorulUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2013Academia HagiFC Viitorul U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Pro LuceafărulAcademia HagiFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.