Beni Mukendi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Beni Mukendi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.0M-6.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (2246 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 36.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €4.3M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2246 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1310
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.0M – €6.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 43 pts; changed club; relative output down 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +50% (IQR -62% to +66%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | DM | 29 | 2246 | 73% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1310 | 1361 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Casa Pia AC | Liga Portugal | DM | 13 | 745 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1353 | 1276 | 0.51 |
| 2024/25 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | DM | 7 | 173 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1438 | 1412 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | Casa Pia AC | Liga Portugal | CM | 25 | 1473 | 48% | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 1403 | 1282 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | Casa Pia AC | Liga Portugal | CM | 14 | 941 | 31% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 1385 | 1298 | 0.68 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Angola | 3 | 127 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanya Fujimoto Liga Portugal · 2022 | 23 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Sander Coopman Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 23 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Leonardo Lopes Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 24 | €2.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Zaydou Youssouf Liga Portugal · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €6.0M | rose |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 25 | €4.0M | €11.0M | rose |
| Michel Vlap Eredivisie · 2022 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Chico Geraldes Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Furkan Özcal Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €2.2M | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | Casa Pia | Vit. Guimarães | €3.0M | €600k |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Trofense | Casa Pia | Unknown | €525k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | P. Luanda U19 | Trofense | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.