Yassine Kechta
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yassine Kechta's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-4.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-4.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.27x the positional average in the league (1330 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1330 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1474
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €4.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 26 pts; relative output up 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -58% to +34%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1330 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 30 | 1330 | 43% | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 1474 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 31 | 2111 | 69% | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1454 | 1333 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | CM | 32 | 1860 | 61% | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 1478 | 1351 | 0.87 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rémi Oudin Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Guélor Kanga Premier Liga · 2015 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Artur Ioniță Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €3.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Jerdy Schouten Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €9.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Antonin Bobichon Ligue 1 · 2020 | 25 | €2.8M | €1.8M | fell |
| Joan González Serie A · 2024 | 22 | €4.5M | €800k | fell |
| Silvan Widmer Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €8.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Federico Mattiello Serie A · 2019 | 24 | €2.5M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Le Havre B | Le Havre AC | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Le Havre U19 | Le Havre B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Le Havre U17 | Le Havre U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Le Havre Youth | Le Havre U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Paris FC Yth. | Le Havre Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Racing CFF Yth. | Paris FC Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.