
Jerdy Schouten
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jerdy Schouten's performance-implied value at EUR 4.2M-10.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.5M-19.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.6M-12.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €15.2M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -65% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2381 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 79 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1606
- Opponent strength
- 1282
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.6M – €12.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 35 pts; role change DM -> CB.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -43% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | CB | 28 | 2381 | 78% | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 1282 | 1606 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 18 | 1297 | 42% | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 1274 | 1632 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie | DM | 29 | 2427 | 79% | 4 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 1342 | 1659 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 33 | 2516 | 74% | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1480 | 1482 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 17 | 1393 | 41% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 1476 | 1395 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 34 | 2522 | 74% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1461 | 1380 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | DM | 19 | 1082 | 32% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1414 | 1365 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CM | 31 | 2727 | 89% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 1350 | 1235 | 0.61 |
| 2016/17 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | ST | 2 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 1362 | 1259 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 675 | 0 | 0 | 1671 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1297 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 567 | 1 | 0 | 1691 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 301 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 622 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 1528 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 209 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Excelsior Rotterdam | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héctor Moreno Eredivisie · 2016 | 28 | €7.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Yevgen Khacheridi Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €8.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Antunes Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Vyacheslav Karavaev Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €6.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Greg Taylor Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €6.5M | €6.0M | flat |
| Alistair Johnston Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €8.5M | €8.0M | flat |
| Clinton Mata Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 28 | €6.5M | €8.0M | rose |
| Nicolás Tagliafico Eredivisie · 2019 | 27 | €28.0M | €22.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2023 | Bologna | PSV | €12.3M | €12.0M |
| 5 Jul 2019 | Excelsior | Bologna | €2.1M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Telstar | Excelsior | €300k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | ADO Den Haag | Telstar | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | ADO U19 | ADO Den Haag | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | ADO U18 | ADO U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | ADO U17 | ADO U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.