Jaidon Anthony
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jaidon Anthony's performance-implied value at EUR 5.1M-19.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.4M-24.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.9M-25.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.70x the positional average in the league (2735 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 58
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €17.8M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2735 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.40
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.69
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1343
- Opponent strength
- 1609
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €9.9M – €25.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -25% to +62%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Burnley FC | Premier League | LW | 37 | 2735 | 80% | 8 | 4 | 0.39 | 0.69 | 1609 | 1343 | 1.30 |
| 2023/24 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LW | 3 | 153 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 1679 | 1496 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LW | 30 | 1247 | 36% | 3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.52 | 1611 | 1425 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Burnley FC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 4 | 348 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Charlie Austin Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €9.0M | €13.0M | rose |
| Wilfried Zaha Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €18.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Niklas Beste Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Carlton Morris Premier League · 2024 | 29 | €13.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Ante Budimir Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Ermedin Demirovic Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €28.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Jack Grealish Premier League · 2020 | 25 | €30.5M | €70.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Bournemouth | Burnley | €9.5M | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Burnley | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Bournemouth | Burnley | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Leeds | Bournemouth | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Bournemouth | Leeds | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Bournemouth U23 | Bournemouth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Weymouth FC | Bournemouth U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Bournemouth U23 | Weymouth FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Bournemouth U18 | Bournemouth U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Arsenal U18 | Bournemouth U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.