Salis Abdul Samed
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Salis Abdul Samed's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-5.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-4.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-4.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.59x the positional average in the league (913 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 29
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -36% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 913 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1358
- Opponent strength
- 1461
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €4.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -50% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 913 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | OGC Nice | Ligue 1 | DM | 18 | 913 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1461 | 1358 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | DM | 27 | 1513 | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1464 | 1518 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | DM | 33 | 2897 | 85% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1420 | 1626 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Clermont Foot 63 | Ligue 1 | DM | 31 | 2469 | 72% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1418 | 1324 | 0.86 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | OGC Nice | 5 | 375 | 0 | 1 | 1439 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | RC Lens | 6 | 495 | 0 | 0 | 1656 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | RC Lens | 2 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 1512 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Galdames Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Léo Sena Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Bonke Innocent Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Francesco Bolzoni Serie A · 2015 | 26 | €2.7M | €1.4M | fell |
| Jamel Saihi Ligue 1 · 2013 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Óscar Melendo Laliga · 2024 | 27 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Unai López Laliga · 2022 | 27 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Stanislav Dragun Premier Liga · 2013 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2025 | Lens | Nice | €2.5M | €5.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Sunderland | Lens | Free / loan | €5.5M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Lens | Sunderland | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Clermont Foot | Lens | €5.0M | €3.0M |
| 12 Jul 2021 | JMG Abidjan | Clermont Foot | Unknown | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Clermont Foot | JMG Abidjan | Free / loan | €400k |
| 19 Jul 2019 | JMG Abidjan | Clermont Foot | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | JMG Accra | JMG Abidjan | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.