Jakub Kaluzinski
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jakub Kaluzinski's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.69x the positional average in the league (531 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 531 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1268
- Opponent strength
- 1315
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 65 pts; changed club; team strength up (+88 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -28% to +27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 531 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Basaksehir FK | Super Lig | DM | 9 | 315 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 1315 | 1357 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 4 | 216 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1236 | 1139 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 35 | 2659 | 82% | 0 | 8 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 1282 | 1181 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Antalyaspor | Super Lig | DM | 31 | 2327 | 68% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1295 | 1244 | 0.45 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Fernandes Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Tarkan Serbest Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Ante Palaversa Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 21 | €2.5M | €700k | fell |
| Simon Tibbling Superliga · 2020 | 26 | €1.6M | €700k | fell |
| Josh Campbell Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 24 | €900k | €1.2M | rose |
| Sam Nicholson Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 22 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Taylan Antalyalı Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €950k | €3.5M | rose |
| Gift Links Superliga · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €750k | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sept 2025 | Antalyaspor | Basaksehir | €2.0M | €3.5M |
| 14 Jul 2023 | Lechia Gdansk | Antalyaspor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 5 Feb 2020 | Lechia U19 | Lechia Gdansk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Lechia Youth | Lechia U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.