Rein Van Helden
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rein Van Helden's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-4.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 47
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.9M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1748 (65% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1401
- Opponent strength
- 1387
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 22 pts; team strength up (+99 Elo); relative output down 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -21% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1748 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 21 | 1712 | 63% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1387 | 1401 | 0.65 |
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 1 | 36 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1342 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2344 | 87% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1366 | 1302 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Sint-Truidense VV | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 29 | 2482 | 92% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1383 | 1324 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Antwerp FC | 7 | 373 | 1 | 0 | 1370 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Borevković Liga Portugal · 2022 | 25 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Jacob Rasmussen Eredivisie · 2022 | 25 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Selim Ay Super Lig · 2015 | 24 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Aziz Behich Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.8M | flat |
| Modibo Sagnan Eredivisie · 2023 | 24 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Wilker Ángel Premier Liga · 2019 | 26 | €3.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Milad Mohammadi Premier Liga · 2018 | 25 | €2.8M | €2.8M | flat |
| Filip Uremovic Premier Liga · 2019 | 22 | €2.8M | €7.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Sint-Truiden | Royal Antwerp | €1.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | St.Truiden U21 | Sint-Truiden | Unknown | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | MVV Maastricht | St.Truiden U21 | Free / loan | €300k |
| 13 Aug 2022 | St.Truiden U21 | MVV Maastricht | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | St. Truiden U18 | St.Truiden U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | St. Truiden U17 | St. Truiden U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | STVV Youth | St. Truiden U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | KRC Genk Youth | STVV Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.