Romano Floriani Mussolini
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Romano Floriani Mussolini's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-5.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.81x the positional average in the league (1164 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.5M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1164 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1517
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €5.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -8% (IQR -54% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1164 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | RM | 28 | 1164 | 34% | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 1517 | 1299 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Cabot Ligue 1 · 2017 | 23 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Luca Marrone Serie A · 2014 | 24 | €4.5M | €2.2M | fell |
| Stefano Sensi Serie A · 2018 | 23 | €3.5M | €24.0M | rose |
| Mathias Pereira Lage Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Luca Valzania Serie A · 2019 | 23 | €1.7M | €1.6M | flat |
| Alessandro Zanoli Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Daniele Baselli Serie A · 2015 | 23 | €3.8M | €7.0M | rose |
| Patrick Erras Bundesliga · 2019 | 24 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Cremonese | Lazio | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 14 Jul 2025 | Lazio | Cremonese | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Juve Stabia | Lazio | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Lazio | Juve Stabia | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Pescara | Lazio | Free / loan | €100k |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Lazio U19 | Pescara | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Lazio U18 | Lazio U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2020 | Lazio U17 | Lazio U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Lazio Youth | Lazio U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Vigor Perconti | Lazio Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Jan 2018 | Lazio Youth | Vigor Perconti | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jul 2016 | AS Rom Youth | Lazio Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.