Lequincio Zeefuik
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lequincio Zeefuik's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.95x the positional average in the league (1168 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 1.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €503k vs market €850k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 13% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1168 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1090
- Opponent strength
- 1356
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 13%
- Resale range (24m)
- €469k – €2.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; changed club; team strength down (-240 Elo); league level down (-87 Elo); relative output up 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -40% to +46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1168 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | ST | 13 | 1061 | 35% | 2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 1356 | 1060 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | ST | 10 | 107 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1373 | 1393 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 9 | 471 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1410 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | ST | 3 | 29 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1210 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | ST | 16 | 771 | 25% | 3 | 2 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 1348 | 1066 | 0.48 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | ST | 6 | 53 | 2% | 0 | 1 | 1.70 | 0.38 | 1278 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | ST | 14 | 327 | 11% | 2 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 1347 | 1213 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1413 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 2 | 57 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Sankoh Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Emil Frederiksen Superliga · 2022 | 22 | €350k | €800k | rose |
| Vladislav Karapuzov Premier Liga · 2021 | 21 | €500k | €700k | rose |
| Lesly de Sa Eredivisie · 2015 | 22 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Edgar Sevikyan Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mo Dauda Superliga · 2020 | 22 | €725k | €1.2M | rose |
| Alex Schalk Eredivisie · 2015 | 23 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Makana Baku Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €700k | €450k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Heracles Almelo | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €850k |
| 8 Jan 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | Heracles Almelo | Free / loan | €850k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | OH Leuven | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €850k |
| 14 Jan 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | FC Volendam | AZ Alkmaar | €500k | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Volendam U17 | FC Volendam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Volendam Youth | Volendam U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | ASV Fortius Yth | Volendam Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.