Joseph Nonge
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Joseph Nonge's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-4.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.43x the positional average in the league (1193 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 26% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1193 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1188
- Opponent strength
- 1260
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 26%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €4.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -42% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1193 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kocaelispor | Super Lig | CM | 25 | 1193 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1260 | 1188 | 0.40 |
| 2023/24 | Juventus FC | Serie A | CM | 2 | 23 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1514 | 1621 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Francis Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Idriz Voca Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.7M | €750k | fell |
| Mohamed Diomandé Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.3M | €4.0M | rose |
| Ömer Beyaz Super Lig · 2024 | 21 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Anouar El Azzouzi Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €650k | €650k | flat |
| Diego Lopes Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Edouard Michut Super Lig · 2024 | 21 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Idrissa Doumbia Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 24 | €1.7M | €1.7M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2025 | Juve Next Gen | Kocaelispor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Servette FC | Juve Next Gen | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Juve Next Gen | Servette FC | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Troyes | Juve Next Gen | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Juve Next Gen | Troyes | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Juventus U19 | Juve Next Gen | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Juventus U17 | Juventus U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jul 2021 | Anderlecht U18 | Juventus U17 | €540k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.