
Denys Slyusar
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Denys Slyusar's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.52x the positional average in the league (1074 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 0.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €232k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1074 (40% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1039
- Opponent strength
- 1181
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €187k – €617k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -26% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1074 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | DM | 22 | 1074 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1181 | 1039 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | DM | 6 | 302 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1169 | 1199 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 7 | 236 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1278 | 1265 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Rukh Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 18 | 1586 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1287 | 1218 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 3 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 131 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Rukh Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmed Alibekov Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Tony Gallacher Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Oleksandr Chernov Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Kubilay Aktas Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €225k | €150k | fell |
| Najeeb Yakubu Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Zisis Karachalios Super League 1 · 2019 | 23 | €300k | €400k | rose |
| Yalçın Kayan Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €650k | €1.1M | rose |
| Scott Allardice Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €350k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Rukh Lviv U19 | Rukh Lviv | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Rukh Lviv II | Rukh Lviv U19 | Unknown | €50k |
| 15 Oct 2020 | Karpaty | Rukh Lviv II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Karpaty U19 | Karpaty | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | UFK Lviv | Karpaty U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.