Denys Slyusar

24 yrs · Centre-back (also DM) · Ukraine
Rukh Lviv · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 May 2028
Market value
€400k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€126k – €440k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€239k – €364k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€187k – €617k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€201k – €238k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€126k – €440k
Model value (performance-implied)€239k – €364k
Projected value (24 months)€187k – €617k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Denys Slyusar's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.52x the positional average in the league (1074 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 92

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average0.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €232k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationNeutral-2% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1074 (40% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
0 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1039
Opponent strength
1181
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€187k – €617k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -26% to +7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1074 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Rukh LvivPremier LigaDM22107440%000.000.06118110390.25
2024/25Rukh LvivPremier LigaDM630211%000.000.09116911990.28
2023/24Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB72369%000.000.05127812650.34
2022/23Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB18158659%100.060.06128712180.38

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv314900—
2024/25Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv213100—
2023/24Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Akhmed Alibekov
Premier Liga · 2023
25€300k€300kflat
Tony Gallacher
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€350k€350kflat
Oleksandr Chernov
Premier Liga · 2024
22€200k€150kfell
Kubilay Aktas
Super Lig · 2021
26€225k€150kfell
Najeeb Yakubu
Premier Liga · 2024
24€500k€500kflat
Zisis Karachalios
Super League 1 · 2019
23€300k€400krose
Yalçın Kayan
Super Lig · 2022
23€650k€1.1Mrose
Scott Allardice
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€350k€250kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022Rukh Lviv U19Rukh LvivUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2021Rukh Lviv IIRukh Lviv U19Unknown€50k
15 Oct 2020KarpatyRukh Lviv IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Aug 2020Karpaty U19KarpatyUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019UFK LvivKarpaty U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.