Soufiane Hetli
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Soufiane Hetli's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1618 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 2.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €212k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1618 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1216
- Opponent strength
- 1334
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €245k – €629k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -31% to -16%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1618 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Telstar | Eredivisie | ST | 31 | 1618 | 53% | 3 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 1334 | 1215 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Telstar | 3 | 119 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Anderson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Marvin Egho Superliga · 2019 | 25 | €450k | €500k | flat |
| Jay-Roy Grot Superliga · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Mads Hvilsom Superliga · 2017 | 25 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Richlord Ennin Premier Liga · 2022 | 24 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Sotiris Tsiloulis Super League 1 · 2020 | 25 | €325k | €250k | fell |
| Jean-Baptiste Léo Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €350k | €175k | fell |
| Richard Sukuta-Pasu Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 25 | €450k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | AFC Amsterdam | Telstar | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | AFC U21 | AFC Amsterdam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | AFC A'dam U19 | AFC U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Unknown | AFC A'dam U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | DWS Youth | Unknown | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Almere City FC | DWS Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Zeeburgia Yth. | Almere City FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.