David Datro Fofana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates David Datro Fofana's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-5.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-6.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.13x the positional average in the league (1153 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 50
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.5M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1153 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.47
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.62
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 28 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1218
- Opponent strength
- 1256
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €6.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -28% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1153 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fatih Karagümrük | Super Lig | ST | 13 | 983 | 32% | 6 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 1256 | 1169 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Ligue 1 | ST | 5 | 170 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1390 | 1502 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Göztepe | Super Lig | ST | 9 | 282 | 9% | 2 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 1284 | 1201 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Burnley FC | Premier League | ST | 15 | 879 | 26% | 4 | 1 | 0.51 | 0.76 | 1608 | 1366 | 1.14 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | ST | 12 | 688 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 1512 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | ST | 3 | 68 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1430 | 1579 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 4 | 198 | 1 | 0 | 1689 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Molde Fotballklubb | 6 | 531 | 2 | 1 | 1446 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erencan Yardımcı Super Lig · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Patrik Wålemark Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım Super Lig · 2023 | 21 | €2.7M | €2.0M | fell |
| Yusuf Sarı Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €5.5M | rose |
| Obbi Oulare Eredivisie · 2017 | 21 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Julen Lobete Eredivisie · 2023 | 23 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Güven Yalçın Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Ebrima Colley Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | R. Strasbourg | Chelsea | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | R. Strasbourg | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Karagümrük | Chelsea | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 12 Sept 2025 | Chelsea | Karagümrük | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Göztepe | Chelsea | Free / loan | €8.5M |
| 13 Sept 2024 | Chelsea | Göztepe | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 31 May 2024 | Burnley | Chelsea | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Chelsea | Burnley | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 11 Jan 2024 | Union Berlin | Chelsea | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 11 Jul 2023 | Chelsea | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Molde FK | Chelsea | €12.0M | €7.0M |
| 2 Feb 2021 | Abidjan City FC | Molde FK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2020 | AFAD Djékanou | Abidjan City FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Abidjan City FC | AFAD Djékanou | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.