Mayckel Lahdo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mayckel Lahdo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.08x the positional average in the league (539 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 32th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.5M vs market €2.7M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -18% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 539 (18% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.48
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 32 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1311
- Opponent strength
- 1463
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-155 Elo); league level up (+110 Elo); relative output up 44% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -45% to +227%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 539 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | RW | 8 | 417 | 14% | 1 | 1 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 1463 | 1304 | 0.88 |
| 2025/26 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RW | 3 | 122 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 1225 | 1336 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 21 | 864 | 28% | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1308 | 1466 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 15 | 774 | 25% | 3 | 4 | 0.81 | 0.41 | 1327 | 1441 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | RW | 25 | 540 | 18% | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 1374 | 1530 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 429 | 0 | 0 | 1575 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 309 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 238 | 2 | 2 | 1286 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 177 | 3 | 0 | 1311 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 44 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Cerri Serie A · 2020 | 24 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Federico Bonazzoli Serie A · 2020 | 23 | €1.6M | €5.0M | rose |
| Jérémy Le Douaron Ligue 1 · 2021 | 23 | €1.2M | €4.5M | rose |
| Amato Ciciretti Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Dennis Eckert Ayensa Eredivisie · 2019 | 22 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Erison Liga Portugal · 2023 | 24 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Jonathas Serie A · 2013 | 24 | €1.6M | €6.0M | rose |
| Dereck Kutesa Ligue 1 · 2021 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Bröndby IF | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €2.7M |
| 1 Feb 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 31 Jan 2026 | FC Nantes | AZ Alkmaar | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 13 Aug 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | FC Nantes | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Hammarby | AZ Alkmaar | €600k | €1.0M |
| 30 Nov 2021 | Hammarby TFF | Hammarby | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Mar 2021 | Hammarby | Hammarby TFF | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 11 Jan 2021 | Hammarby U19 | Hammarby | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Nov 2020 | IK Frej Täby | Hammarby U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 15 Jul 2020 | Hammarby U19 | IK Frej Täby | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Hammarby IF U17 | Hammarby U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Hammarby Yth. | Hammarby IF U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Djurgården Jgd. | Hammarby Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.