Fodé Doucouré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Fodé Doucouré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1242 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.29
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.27
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1361
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €982k – €3.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -38% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1242 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Le Havre AC | Ligue 1 | RB | 26 | 1242 | 41% | 3 | 1 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 1464 | 1361 | 0.88 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | RB | 7 | 329 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1417 | 1373 | 0.75 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achraf Dari Ligue 1 · 2023 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Salva Ferrer Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €1.3M | €700k | fell |
| Issiaga Sylla Ligue 1 · 2018 | 24 | €3.0M | €2.8M | flat |
| Nayef Aguerd Ligue 1 · 2020 | 24 | €2.4M | €12.0M | rose |
| Chumi Laliga · 2023 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Ardian Ismajli Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| João Guilherme Liga Portugal · 2013 | 27 | €1.9M | €1.2M | fell |
| Jean-Armel Kana-Biyik Ligue 1 · 2015 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | Red Star FC | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | €700k |
| 28 Jul 2022 | Stade Reims | Red Star FC | €50k | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Red Star FC | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €600k |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Stade Reims | Red Star FC | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Stade Reims B | Stade Reims | Unknown | €500k |
| 11 Jul 2019 | JMG Bamako | Stade Reims B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.