Arif Boşluk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Arif Boşluk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 10.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €761k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1134 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 10 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1274
- Opponent strength
- 1286
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €470k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -45% to +53%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1134 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Konyaspor | Super Lig | LB | 12 | 774 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1286 | 1230 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LB | 13 | 360 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1227 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LB | 16 | 650 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1295 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LB | 3 | 98 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.15 | 1175 | 1379 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LM | 6 | 286 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1312 | 1377 | 0.50 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cemali Sertel Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Emre Taşdemir Super Lig · 2020 | 25 | €525k | €300k | fell |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 24 | €700k | €900k | rose |
| Jack MacKenzie Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 23 | €350k | €1.0M | rose |
| Adam Tzanetopoulos Super League 1 · 2016 | 21 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Hristofor Hubchev Super League 1 · 2019 | 24 | €350k | €150k | fell |
| Philipp Ochs Superliga · 2019 | 22 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Leandro González Pírez Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 22 | €1.0M | €2.6M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Konyaspor | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Trabzonspor | Konyaspor | Free / loan | €800k |
| 12 Dec 2022 | Trabzonspor U19 | Trabzonspor | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Trabzonspor U17 | Trabzonspor U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Trabzonspor U16 | Trabzonspor U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Aug 2018 | Arakli 1961 Jgd | Trabzonspor U16 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.