Jacques Siwe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jacques Siwe's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.83x the positional average in the league (902 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 45
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.1M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 902 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1339
- Opponent strength
- 1337
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +46% (IQR +40% to +81%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 902 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Rubin Kazan | Premier Liga | ST | 19 | 902 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 1337 | 1339 | 0.56 |
| 2020/21 | Dijon FCO | Ligue 1 | ST | 5 | 167 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 1416 | 1211 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FC Rubin Kazan | 4 | 204 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vakoun Bayo Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 26 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Denis Drăguș Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 24 | €1.4M | €3.5M | rose |
| Renato Ibarra Eredivisie · 2016 | 25 | €1.8M | €2.5M | rose |
| Ronny Rodelin Ligue 1 · 2015 | 26 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Idrissa Sylla Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Alassane Ndao Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €2.2M | €1.3M | fell |
| Nikolay Komlichenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Rui Fonte Liga Portugal · 2015 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2025 | Guingamp | Rubin Kazan | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| 23 Dec 2022 | EA Guingamp B | Guingamp | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Annecy | EA Guingamp B | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dijon FCO B | FC Annecy | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | US Créteil B | Dijon FCO B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.