Artem Machelyuk

26 yrs · Right-back · Ukraine
FC Kudrivka · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€95k – €347k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€272k – €532k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€279k – €492k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€74k – €437k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€95k – €347k
Model value (performance-implied)€272k – €532k
Projected value (24 months)€279k – €492k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Artem Machelyuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 92

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average2.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €126k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationLow-16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €400k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2298 (85% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
3 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1042
Opponent strength
1184
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€279k – €492k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -38% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC KudrivkaPremier LigaRB27229885%010.040.10118410420.25

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Oleksandr Myzyuk
Premier Liga · 2023
28€400k€400kflat
Vladyslav Pryimak
Premier Liga · 2024
28€400k€400kflat
Georgios Mygas
Super League 1 · 2023
29€400k€250kfell
Dmitriy Nagiyev
Premier Liga · 2023
28€400k€250kfell
Frederik Möller
Superliga · 2020
27€300k€300kflat
Georgios Kornezos
Super League 1 · 2023
25€400k€350kflat
Ryan Leak
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€300k€175kfell
Liam Gordon
Scottish Premiership · 2023
27€500k€450kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jan 2024ZirkaKudrivka-NyvaFree / loanData unavailable
2 Aug 2021UnknownZirkaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Feb 2021CherkashchynaUnknownFree / loanData unavailable
11 Sept 2020Peremoga DniproCherkashchynaFree / loanData unavailable
27 Aug 2020ZirkaPeremoga DniproFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2020Without ClubZirkaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2019Orzel WalczWithout ClubUnknownData unavailable
28 Aug 2018FK Zirka IIOrzel WalczFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Zirka U19FK Zirka IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Zirka U17Zirka U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Artem Machelyuk · MoneyballAI