Milan Zonneveld
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Milan Zonneveld's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (1078 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €483k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 21% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1078 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.67
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.55
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 7 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1215
- Opponent strength
- 1306
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 21%
- Resale range (24m)
- €306k – €864k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -31% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1078 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Telstar | Eredivisie | ST | 20 | 852 | 28% | 2 | 2 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 1306 | 1215 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 11 | 226 | 7% | 4 | 0 | 1.59 | 0.65 | 1272 | 1213 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | SC Telstar | 3 | 241 | 5 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konrad Michalak Super Lig · 2020 | 23 | €550k | €1.7M | rose |
| Alex Schalk Scottish Premiership · 2016 | 24 | €400k | €350k | flat |
| Ryotaro Meshino Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 22 | €450k | €300k | fell |
| Elijah Just Superliga · 2023 | 23 | €350k | €300k | flat |
| Kosmas Tsilianidis Super League 1 · 2016 | 22 | €350k | €700k | rose |
| Vicente Besuijen Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 22 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Henrik Ojamaa Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 24 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Fabricio Brener Super League 1 · 2021 | 23 | €250k | €175k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Telstar | Sparta R. | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Quick Boys | Telstar | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2024 | ADO '20 | Quick Boys | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Volendam U21 | ADO '20 | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | DEM U18 | Volendam U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | ADO '20 Yth. | DEM U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.