Younes Taha
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Younes Taha's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-4.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-8.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (2699 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 30.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2699 (88% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.50
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1248
- Opponent strength
- 1304
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €8.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -32% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | AM | 33 | 2699 | 88% | 5 | 10 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1304 | 1248 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RW | 9 | 212 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1364 | 1409 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | RW | 20 | 452 | 15% | 3 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.38 | 1336 | 1466 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 79 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1623 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1365 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anis Ben Slimane Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Simon Gustafson Eredivisie · 2018 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.4M | flat |
| Emre Akbaba Super Lig · 2017 | 25 | €3.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Lucas Evangelista Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €4.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Renato Neto Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 23 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Kolbeinn Finnsson Superliga · 2024 | 25 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Ante Palaversa Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 22 | €1.5M | €350k | fell |
| Haris Hajradinovic Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €2.4M | €3.3M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | FC Groningen | FC Twente | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 7 Jul 2025 | FC Twente | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PEC Zwolle | FC Twente | €1.2M | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Volendam U21 | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | De Volewijckers | Volendam U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.