Panagiotis Tsantilas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Panagiotis Tsantilas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1020 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 44
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €605k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 23% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1020 (44% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1247
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 23%
- Resale range (24m)
- €314k – €932k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -32% to +19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1020 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | ST | 22 | 1020 | 44% | 3 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 1247 | 1237 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 422 | 3 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Oti Superliga · 2019 | 23 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Chris Ikonomidis Superliga · 2017 | 22 | €300k | €800k | rose |
| Kornelius Normann Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Dolly Menga Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 21 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Jordan Slew Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 22 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Jay-Roy Grot Superliga · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Kostyantyn Bychek Premier Liga · 2023 | 23 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Mustapha Bundu Superliga · 2019 | 22 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sept 2024 | Atromitos U19 | Atromitos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Atromitos U17 | Atromitos U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.