Adama Camara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Adama Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-3.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.69x the positional average in the league (2172 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 71
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 55.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2172 (71% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 56 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1493
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €990k – €2.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -67% to -33%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | DM | 29 | 2172 | 71% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 1493 | 1454 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haris Belkebla Ligue 1 · 2023 | 29 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Loris Benito Ligue 1 · 2020 | 28 | €3.2M | €800k | fell |
| Hassane Kamara Serie A · 2024 | 30 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Abel Aguilar Ligue 1 · 2014 | 29 | €2.8M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ludovic Obraniak Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €5.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Walid Mesloub Ligue 1 · 2015 | 30 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Mariano Izco Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.6M | flat |
| Cédric Makiadi Bundesliga · 2014 | 30 | €3.0M | €650k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Racing CFF | Paris FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Noisy-le-Grand | Racing CFF | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Ga Revolution | Noisy-le-Grand | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Montfermeil | Ga Revolution | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.