Oluwaseun Adewumi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Oluwaseun Adewumi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-3.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.91x the positional average in the league (1433 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 76
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €886k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 36% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1433 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.37
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 35 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1325
- Opponent strength
- 1388
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 36%
- Resale range (24m)
- €404k – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+203 Elo); league level up (+149 Elo); relative output down 35% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -17% (IQR -31% to -5%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1433 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 26 | 1433 | 53% | 4 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 1388 | 1325 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Dundee FC | Scottish Premiership | AM | 25 | 1577 | 53% | 4 | 4 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 1261 | 1122 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Cercle Brugge | 6 | 152 | 1 | 0 | 1254 |
| 2024/25 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee FC | 3 | 217 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Ozarkiv Premier Liga · 2013 | 21 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Richard Liga Portugal · 2020 | 21 | €625k | €550k | flat |
| Abu Francis Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Vladyslav Kochergin Premier Liga · 2017 | 21 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Santiago Colombatto Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Tomás Podstawski Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €1.0M | €525k | fell |
| Glenn Claes Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 21 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Show Liga Portugal · 2021 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Cercle Brugge | Burnley | Free / loan | €800k |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Burnley | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Dundee FC | Burnley | Free / loan | €350k |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Burnley | Dundee FC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Aug 2024 | FAC | Burnley | €400k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FAC II | FAC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FAC Youth | FAC II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | AKA Rapid U15 | FAC Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Rapid Youth | AKA Rapid U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2016 | FAC Youth | Rapid Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.