Andrija Bulatovic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andrija Bulatovic's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-11.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.8M-16.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.2M-29.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (753 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 47.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €14.1M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +57% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 51% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 753 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 48 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1569
- Opponent strength
- 1420
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 51%
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.2M – €29.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +2% (IQR -33% to +92%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 753 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CM | 19 | 753 | 25% | 0 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.26 | 1420 | 1569 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogenyi Onazi Serie A · 2013 | 21 | €4.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Brandon Soppy Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €9.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Carlos Baleba Ligue 1 · 2023 | 19 | €5.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Boubakary Soumaré Ligue 1 · 2019 | 20 | €7.5M | €28.0M | rose |
| Juan Fernando Quintero Liga Portugal · 2014 | 21 | €9.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Giovanni Fabbian Serie A · 2024 | 21 | €14.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Zakaria Labyad Liga Portugal · 2013 | 20 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Tyler Adams Bundesliga · 2019 | 20 | €13.0M | €20.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | B. Podgorica | Lens | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 4 Feb 2025 | Lens | B. Podgorica | Free / loan | €400k |
| 3 Feb 2025 | B. Podgorica | Lens | €1.7M | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Rudar Pljevlja | B. Podgorica | Free / loan | €250k |
| 30 Jan 2024 | FK Berane | Rudar Pljevlja | Unknown | €175k |
| 31 Dec 2023 | Rudar Pljevlja | FK Berane | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 20 Jul 2023 | FK Berane II | Rudar Pljevlja | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Kom Pod U19 | FK Berane II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 9 Feb 2023 | FK Berane II | Kom Pod U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 8 Feb 2023 | Kom Pod U19 | FK Berane II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.