Sami Jalal
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sami Jalal's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.60x the positional average in the league (1390 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 49
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.6M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 12% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1390 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1286
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 12%
- Resale range (24m)
- €779k – €3.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +29% (IQR -12% to +68%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1390 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Viborg FF | Superliga | LW | 21 | 1390 | 70% | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 1273 | 1286 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Viborg FF | 5 | 406 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Género Zeefuik Eredivisie · 2013 | 23 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Superliga · 2022 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Timur Suleymanov Premier Liga · 2022 | 22 | €700k | €1.2M | rose |
| Afonso Sousa Liga Portugal · 2021 | 21 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Deniz Türüç Super Lig · 2016 | 23 | €1.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Albert Rusnák Eredivisie · 2016 | 22 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
| Ivo Rodrigues Liga Portugal · 2017 | 22 | €900k | €1.5M | rose |
| Tosin Kehinde Superliga · 2023 | 25 | €750k | €750k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | Kolding IF | Viborg FF | €600k | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | FA 2000 | Kolding IF | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | FA 2000 U19 | FA 2000 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | B.93 Youth | FA 2000 U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.