Sotiris Kontouris
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sotiris Kontouris's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-1.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-4.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (911 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €1.9M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 28% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 911 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1328
- Opponent strength
- 1262
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 28%
- Resale range (24m)
- €749k – €4.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +25% (IQR -1% to +74%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 911 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | CM | 6 | 470 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1262 | 1465 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CM | 10 | 441 | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 1298 | 1182 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panetolikos Agrinio | Super League 1 | CM | 9 | 330 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1241 | 1156 | 0.35 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 3 | 186 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panetolikos Agrinio | 1 | 57 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Diomandé Superliga · 2021 | 20 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Kerem Atakan Kesgin Super Lig · 2022 | 22 | €1.0M | €950k | flat |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos Super League 1 · 2018 | 22 | €600k | €2.4M | rose |
| Sergey Babkin Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Christian Cappis Superliga · 2023 | 24 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Bartuğ Elmaz Super Lig · 2024 | 21 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Victor Jensen Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Mads Søndergaard Superliga · 2024 | 22 | €900k | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Panetolikos | Panathinaikos | €600k | €400k |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Panetolikos U19 | Panetolikos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Panetolikos U17 | Panetolikos U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.