Miro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Miro's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (1206 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 9.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €823k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1206 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 9 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1210
- Opponent strength
- 1377
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €451k – €2.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR -24% to +111%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1206 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | ST | 20 | 924 | 34% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.42 | 1377 | 1214 | 0.56 |
| 2025/26 | CD Tondela | Liga Portugal | ST | 4 | 282 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 1438 | 1194 | 0.58 |
| 2023/24 | Gil Vicente FC | Liga Portugal | ST | 5 | 155 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 1319 | 1276 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Silva Liga Portugal · 2016 | 23 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| André Luiz Liga Portugal · 2024 | 22 | €600k | €6.0M | rose |
| Pape Habib Guèye Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 24 | €600k | €1.2M | rose |
| Rui Mendes Eredivisie · 2023 | 24 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Rémy Vita Eredivisie · 2023 | 22 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Emil Hansson Eredivisie · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €1.5M | rose |
| Emir Kaan Gültekin Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Piotr Parzyszek Eredivisie · 2018 | 25 | €750k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2025 | Tondela | Dinamo Makhach. | €1.5M | €650k |
| 22 Jul 2024 | Gil Vicente U23 | Tondela | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Gil Vicente U19 | Gil Vicente U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | AS Aviação | Gil Vicente U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.