
Kareem Tunde
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kareem Tunde's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-10.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-6.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-6.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (1143 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €3.2M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 33% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1143 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.30
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1506
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 33%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €6.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +44% (IQR +0% to +95%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1143 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 21 | 1143 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.30 | 1506 | 1420 | 0.95 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Aboubakar Ligue 1 · 2013 | 21 | €2.0M | €6.5M | rose |
| Emrah Başsan Super Lig · 2013 | 21 | €2.0M | €3.3M | rose |
| Yoann Cathline Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €2.0M | €8.0M | rose |
| Ezequiel Ponce Ligue 1 · 2018 | 21 | €2.5M | €3.2M | rose |
| Adrien Regattin Ligue 1 · 2013 | 22 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Firmin Mubele Ligue 1 · 2017 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Ihsan Sacko Ligue 1 · 2018 | 21 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Lucas Da Cunha Ligue 1 · 2022 | 21 | €4.0M | €6.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Atl. Levante | Levante | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Levante U19 | Atl. Levante | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | CF Damm Youth | Levante U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Barça Youth | CF Damm Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Espanyol Youth | Barça Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | St. Andreu You. | Espanyol Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.