Jean Pedroso
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jean Pedroso's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-2.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €728k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 20% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1601 (59% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 23 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1189
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 20%
- Resale range (24m)
- €490k – €2.1M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 188% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -7% (IQR -34% to +25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1601 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 21 | 1601 | 59% | 3 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 1189 | 1213 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 20 | 1570 | 58% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1196 | 1185 | 0.28 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Beck Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 22 | €1.3M | €1.3M | flat |
| Aaron Donnelly Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 21 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Teenage Hadebe Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €850k | €2.0M | rose |
| Volodymyr Salyuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €700k | €600k | flat |
| Hajdin Salihu Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Valeriy Dubko Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €350k | €500k | rose |
| Leroy Abanda Super League 1 · 2024 | 24 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Danylo Beskorovaynyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €900k | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Coritiba FC | Karpaty Lviv | €900k | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Karpaty Lviv | Coritiba FC | Free / loan | €900k |
| 31 Jul 2024 | Coritiba FC | Karpaty Lviv | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Coritiba U20 | Coritiba FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.