Volodymyr Salyuk

24 yrs · Centre-back (also RB) · Ukraine
TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€481k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€455k – €739k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€603k – €2.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€724k – €258k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€481k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€455k – €739k
Projected value (24 months)€603k – €2.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Volodymyr Salyuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 83

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average14.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €759k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral+9% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1544 (57% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.12
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.15
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
15 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1187
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€603k – €2.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +26% (IQR -24% to +116%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1544 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26TOV FK Metalist 1925 KharkivPremier LigaRB19154457%110.120.15118711860.25
2023/24Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaCB26212379%000.000.03126411130.34
2022/23Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaCB27196473%210.140.13127411880.38

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupTOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv544002—
2023/24Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa430800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Robbie Deas
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€650k€500kfell
Slobodan Rubežić
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€800k€500kfell
Corrie Ndaba
Scottish Premiership · 2024
25€350k€900krose
Stavro Pilo
Super League 1 · 2023
23€500k€1.2Mrose
Oleg Gorin
Premier Liga · 2023
23€400k€300kfell
Fatih Aksoy
Super Lig · 2021
24€2.0M€3.2Mrose
Kye Rowles
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Malte Amundsen
Superliga · 2021
23€1.2M€2.5Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Aug 2024ChornomoretsMetalist 1925€500k€700k
21 Jul 2022Balkany ZoryaChornomoretsFree / loan€50k
1 Mar 2021DYuSSh AthleticBalkany ZoryaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2018C. Odessa U17DYuSSh AthleticFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Volodymyr Salyuk · MoneyballAI