Sadibou Sané

22 yrs · Centre-back · Senegal
FC Metz · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 184 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2031
Market value
€7.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€4.4M – €9.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.0M – €7.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.5M – €15.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€8.8M – €2.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.4M – €9.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €7.1M
Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €15.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Sadibou Sané's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-7.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.4M-9.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.5M-15.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 58

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage48.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.1 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €7.2M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral+10% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 25%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1941 (63% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.19
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
48 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1225
Opponent strength
1479
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
25%
Resale range (24m)
€3.5M – €15.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +2% (IQR -33% to +153%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC MetzLigue 1CB23194163%210.140.19147912250.88
2023/24FC MetzLigue 1CB1484228%000.000.06150212840.87

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jackson Porozo
Ligue 1 · 2023
23€3.0M€2.0Mfell
Trevoh Chalobah
Ligue 1 · 2021
22€3.5M€18.0Mrose
Cristian Romero
Serie A · 2019
21€15.0M€30.0Mrose
Félix Eboa Eboa
Ligue 1 · 2019
22€5.0M€1.5Mfell
Bruno Amione
Serie A · 2023
21€2.7M€2.8Mflat
Andreaw Gravillon
Ligue 1 · 2021
23€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Marc Pubill
Laliga · 2024
21€4.0M€35.0Mrose
Álex Berenguer
Laliga · 2017
22€6.0M€6.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
22 Jul 2023Génération FootFC MetzUnknownData unavailable
11 Nov 2021Diouloulou FCGénération FootUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.