Cristian Romero
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Cristian Romero's performance-implied value at EUR 16.9M-37.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.9M-59.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.7M-33.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 3
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 94.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €40.8M vs market €45.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -52% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1873 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1564
- Opponent strength
- 1568
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.7M – €33.3M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 53% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -43% to -2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 23 | 1873 | 55% | 4 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 1568 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 18 | 1420 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 1539 | 1564 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 33 | 2792 | 82% | 5 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1569 | 1588 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 27 | 2365 | 69% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1578 | 1606 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 22 | 1846 | 54% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1594 | 1659 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 31 | 2547 | 74% | 2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 1448 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CB | 30 | 2580 | 75% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 1450 | 1324 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | CB | 27 | 2339 | 68% | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1489 | 1322 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 694 | 1 | 3 | 1616 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Argentina | 2 | 137 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1830 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 630 | 0 | 1 | 1564 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 600 | 0 | 0 | 1624 |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 197 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 7 | 626 | 1 | 1 | 1680 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Llorente Laliga · 2020 | 27 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| José Gayà Laliga · 2022 | 27 | €40.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Aritz Elustondo Laliga · 2022 | 28 | €20.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Kurt Zouma Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €22.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Ben Chilwell Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €35.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Thilo Kehrer Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €18.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Timothy Castagne Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €28.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Pervis Estupiñán Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €32.0M | €30.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2022 | Atalanta | Tottenham | €53.8M | €48.0M |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Tottenham | Atalanta | Free / loan | €48.0M |
| 6 Aug 2021 | Atalanta | Tottenham | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 6 Aug 2021 | Juventus | Atalanta | €17.0M | €35.0M |
| 4 Aug 2021 | Atalanta | Juventus | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 5 Sept 2020 | Juventus | Atalanta | Free / loan | €14.0M |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Genoa | Juventus | Free / loan | €14.0M |
| 13 Jul 2019 | Juventus | Genoa | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 12 Jul 2019 | Genoa | Juventus | €31.5M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Belgrano | Genoa | €4.3M | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Belgrano II | Belgrano | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Belgrano U20 | Belgrano II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.