Daniil Vashchenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daniil Vashchenko's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.47x the positional average in the league (1309 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 3.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €192k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 10% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1309 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1068
- Opponent strength
- 1179
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 10%
- Resale range (24m)
- €214k – €827k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -29% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1309 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 18 | 1309 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1179 | 1068 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 11 | 365 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.15 | 1197 | 1309 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 5 | 145 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1433 | 1218 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1567 | 1284 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Cornelius Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 22 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Adam Montgomery Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 21 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Yalçın Kayan Super Lig · 2022 | 23 | €650k | €1.1M | rose |
| Artem Vovkun Premier Liga · 2023 | 22 | €200k | €200k | flat |
| Zisis Karachalios Super League 1 · 2019 | 23 | €300k | €400k | rose |
| Oleksandr Chernov Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €200k | €150k | fell |
| Angelos Tsingaras Super League 1 · 2021 | 22 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Kyrylo Sigeev Premier Liga · 2024 | 20 | €600k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Oleksandria U19 | FC Oleksandriya | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 19 Aug 2022 | OFKIP Kyiv | Oleksandria U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.