Alpha Touré
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alpha Touré's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-5.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.4M-11.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-13.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1602 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 47
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €6.5M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 24% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1602 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 38 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1225
- Opponent strength
- 1486
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 24%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.9M – €13.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +95% (IQR -32% to +300%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1602 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | DM | 30 | 1602 | 52% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 1486 | 1225 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahima Mbaye Serie A · 2014 | 20 | €6.5M | €3.2M | fell |
| Gianluca Busio Serie A · 2022 | 20 | €8.5M | €6.5M | fell |
| Youssef Aït Bennasser Ligue 1 · 2017 | 21 | €3.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Andrea Cambiaso Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €5.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Wylan Cyprien Ligue 1 · 2015 | 20 | €2.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Enzo Le Fée Ligue 1 · 2021 | 21 | €5.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Lucien Agoumé Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €7.0M | €8.0M | flat |
| Joan González Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €6.0M | €800k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | Génération Foot | FC Metz | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 19 Oct 2023 | Génération U20 | Génération Foot | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.