
Andrea Cambiaso
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Andrea Cambiaso's performance-implied value at EUR 13.0M-32.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.9M-23.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.9M-26.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (2796 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 86.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €17.4M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2796 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 87 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1614
- Opponent strength
- 1487
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.9M – €26.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; role change LB -> LM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -59% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LM | 36 | 2796 | 82% | 3 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 1487 | 1614 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LB | 33 | 2223 | 65% | 2 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 1497 | 1629 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RM | 34 | 2389 | 70% | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 1478 | 1621 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | LB | 32 | 2170 | 63% | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1461 | 1482 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Genoa CFC | Serie A | LM | 26 | 1790 | 52% | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 1449 | 1325 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 9 | 642 | 0 | 1 | 1608 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 7 | 564 | 0 | 1 | 1628 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 5 | 334 | 1 | 3 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 2 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Genoa CFC | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Locatelli Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €28.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Lewis Ferguson Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €24.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Weston McKennie Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €28.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Pavel Kaderabek Bundesliga · 2019 | 27 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Djibril Sow Bundesliga · 2022 | 25 | €22.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Atakan Karazor Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Lucas Paquetá Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €35.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €35.0M | €9.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | Bologna | Juventus | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 15 Jul 2022 | Juventus | Bologna | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 14 Jul 2022 | Genoa | Juventus | €15.5M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Empoli | Genoa | Free / loan | €200k |
| 21 Sept 2020 | Genoa | Empoli | Free / loan | €150k |
| 24 Jan 2020 | Alessandria | Genoa | Free / loan | €175k |
| 2 Aug 2019 | Genoa | Alessandria | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Savona | Genoa | Free / loan | €100k |
| 25 Jul 2018 | Genoa | Savona | Free / loan | €75k |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Albissola | Genoa | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Genoa | Albissola | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Genoa U19 | Genoa | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Genoa U17 | Genoa U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.