Andrea Cambiaso

26 yrs · Left-back (also LM, RM) · Italy
Juventus FC · Serie A · Foot: both · Height: 182 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€20.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€12.9M – €23.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€13.0M – €32.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€10.9M – €26.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€10.3M – €19.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€12.9M – €23.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€13.0M – €32.9M
Projected value (24 months)€10.9M – €26.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Andrea Cambiaso's performance-implied value at EUR 13.0M-32.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.9M-23.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.9M-26.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.89x the positional average in the league (2796 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 62

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh86.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €17.4M vs market €20.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-3% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €40.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2796 (82% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.23
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1614
Opponent strength
1487
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€10.9M – €26.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; role change LB -> LM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -59% to -7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Juventus FCSerie ALM36279682%340.230.20148716140.93
2024/25Juventus FCSerie ALB33222365%240.240.13149716290.99
2023/24Juventus FCSerie ARM34238970%230.190.16147816210.98
2022/23Bologna Football Club 1909Serie ALB32217063%030.120.14146114820.94
2021/22Genoa CFCSerie ALM26179052%140.250.32144913250.89

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC9642011608
2025/26Italy CupJuventus FC217100—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC7564011628
2024/25Italy CupJuventus FC18400—
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC125001641
2023/24Italy CupJuventus FC533413—
2022/23Italy CupBologna Football Club 190929900—
2021/22Italy CupGenoa CFC213500—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Manuel Locatelli
Serie A · 2024
26€28.0M€25.0Mflat
Lewis Ferguson
Serie A · 2024
25€24.0M€14.0Mfell
Weston McKennie
Serie A · 2024
26€28.0M€30.0Mflat
Pavel Kaderabek
Bundesliga · 2019
27€20.0M€8.0Mfell
Djibril Sow
Bundesliga · 2022
25€22.0M€9.0Mfell
Atakan Karazor
Bundesliga · 2024
28€12.0M€8.0Mfell
Lucas Paquetá
Ligue 1 · 2022
25€35.0M€65.0Mrose
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Serie A · 2023
27€35.0M€9.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2023BolognaJuventusFree / loan€8.0M
15 Jul 2022JuventusBolognaFree / loan€5.0M
14 Jul 2022GenoaJuventus€15.5M€5.0M
30 Jun 2021EmpoliGenoaFree / loan€200k
21 Sept 2020GenoaEmpoliFree / loan€150k
24 Jan 2020AlessandriaGenoaFree / loan€175k
2 Aug 2019GenoaAlessandriaFree / loan€100k
30 Jun 2019SavonaGenoaFree / loan€100k
25 Jul 2018GenoaSavonaFree / loan€75k
30 Jun 2018AlbissolaGenoaFree / loan€75k
1 Aug 2017GenoaAlbissolaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Genoa U19GenoaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Genoa U17Genoa U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.