Alexis Vossah
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Alexis Vossah's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-14.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.6M-39.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.3M-33.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.98x the positional average in the league (1093 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 11
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 18.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €30.4M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 37% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1093 (36% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 37%
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.3M – €33.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +104% (IQR +43% to +343%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1093 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CM | 23 | 1093 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1494 | 1442 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliesse Ben Seghir Ligue 1 · 2023 | 18 | €18.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Mateo Kovacic Serie A · 2014 | 20 | €15.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Federico Chiesa Serie A · 2017 | 20 | €10.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Andrey Santos Ligue 1 · 2024 | 20 | €15.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Désiré Doué Ligue 1 · 2023 | 18 | €15.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Yunus Musah Laliga · 2022 | 20 | €15.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Zakaria Labyad Liga Portugal · 2013 | 20 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Nico González Laliga · 2023 | 21 | €10.0M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Toulouse U19 | Toulouse | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Toulouse FC U17 | Toulouse U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Toulouse For. | Toulouse FC U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Cergy FC Jugend | Toulouse For. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.