Emmanuel Kakou
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Emmanuel Kakou's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-4.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-5.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 92
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 26.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 12% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1428 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1325
- Opponent strength
- 1379
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 12%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €5.2M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 77% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -45% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1428 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 20 | 1428 | 53% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 1379 | 1325 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 17 | 1263 | 47% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1384 | 1361 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 305 | 0 | 0 | 1235 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ertuğrul Ersoy Super Lig · 2018 | 21 | €1.8M | €1.2M | fell |
| Lennart Czyborra Eredivisie · 2020 | 21 | €3.2M | €2.3M | fell |
| Luke Bolton Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 22 | €2.0M | €800k | fell |
| Joachim Andersen Eredivisie · 2017 | 21 | €1.5M | €25.0M | rose |
| Ricardo Esgaio Liga Portugal · 2015 | 22 | €3.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Charalampos Mavrias Super League 1 · 2013 | 19 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Fábio Cardoso Liga Portugal · 2016 | 22 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Uğur Çiftçi Super Lig · 2015 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.8M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Jong Cercle | Cercle Brugge | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Reference FA | Jong Cercle | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.