Crysencio Summerville
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Crysencio Summerville's performance-implied value at EUR 15.6M-31.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 25.3M-48.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 21.1M-50.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (2484 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 30
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 85.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €35.3M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2484 (73% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.33
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1599
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €21.1M – €50.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 50 pts; relative output up 30% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -39% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | West Ham United | Premier League | LW | 31 | 2484 | 73% | 5 | 4 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 1599 | 1520 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | West Ham United | Premier League | LW | 19 | 780 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 1579 | 1520 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | RW | 28 | 1415 | 41% | 4 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 1576 | 1418 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Leeds United | Premier League | RW | 6 | 126 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1573 | 1477 | 1.17 |
| 2019/20 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | RW | 21 | 1488 | 64% | 2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 1390 | 1267 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | West Ham United | 3 | 231 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Netherlands | 3 | 133 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | West Ham United | 1 | 45 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 84 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Bowen Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €30.0M | €38.0M | rose |
| Gerard Deulofeu Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €25.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Ché Adams Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Demarai Gray Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €22.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Michael Olise Premier League · 2023 | 22 | €38.0M | €100M | rose |
| Gonçalo Guedes Laliga · 2021 | 25 | €25.0M | €23.0M | flat |
| Adama Traoré Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €25.5M | €20.0M | fell |
| Brais Méndez Laliga · 2019 | 22 | €20.0M | €14.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2024 | Leeds | West Ham | €29.3M | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Leeds United U23 | Leeds | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 16 Sept 2020 | Feyenoord U19 | Leeds United U23 | €6.0M | €1.5M |
| 5 May 2020 | ADO Den Haag | Feyenoord U19 | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Aug 2019 | Feyenoord U19 | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | FC Dordrecht | Feyenoord U19 | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Feyenoord U19 | FC Dordrecht | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Feyenoord U17 | Feyenoord U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Feyenoord Youth | Feyenoord U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.