Mohamed Salah

The model rates Mohamed Salah's performance-implied value at EUR 8.1M-32.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.3M-29.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.9M-9.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (2150 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2150 (63% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.59

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.41

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

99 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1682

Opponent strength

1602

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€4.9M – €9.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 36 pts; team strength down (-117 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -72% (IQR -80% to -62%).

• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.