
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vitaliy Buyalskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.56x the positional average in the league (1275 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 58.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 33.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €807k vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1275 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 1.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.63
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1176
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €490k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output up 66% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -82% to -37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1275 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 25 | 1275 | 47% | 6 | 9 | 1.06 | 0.63 | 1176 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 29 | 2132 | 79% | 7 | 8 | 0.63 | 0.37 | 1192 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 23 | 1717 | 64% | 10 | 7 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 1239 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 27 | 2345 | 87% | 12 | 7 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 1268 | 1433 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 16 | 1385 | 85% | 9 | 2 | 0.71 | 0.43 | 1296 | 1532 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 20 | 1611 | 69% | 5 | 6 | 0.61 | 0.30 | 1291 | 1563 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 17 | 1222 | 62% | 5 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.27 | 1334 | 1497 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 17 | 1456 | 74% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1350 | 1528 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 18 | 1481 | 75% | 4 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.24 | 1302 | 1547 | 0.62 |
| 2016/17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CM | 21 | 1418 | 49% | 1 | 5 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1367 | 1566 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 18 | 964 | 41% | 2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 1340 | 1621 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 11 | 503 | 21% | 2 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 1382 | 1573 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Goverla Uzhgorod (- 2016) | Premier Liga | LM | 20 | 1424 | 55% | 3 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 1399 | 1243 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | AM | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1163 | 1565 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 221 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 1377 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1532 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 1475 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 210 | 0 | 2 | 1593 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 147 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 390 | 0 | 2 | 1428 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 534 | 1 | 1 | 1478 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 506 | 0 | 2 | 1519 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 436 | 0 | 0 | 1726 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 356 | 2 | 0 | 1642 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 347 | 0 | 1 | 1664 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 259 | 1 | 2 | 1496 |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 256 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 359 | 1 | 2 | 1460 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 228 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 1 | 0 | 1570 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 600 | 2 | 1 | 1498 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 245 | 0 | 0 | 1559 |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 83 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 783 | 2 | 1 | 1483 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 1369 |
| 2017/18 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 171 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 232 | 1 | 1 | 1665 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 146 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 403 | 2 | 0 | 1657 |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 238 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 337 | 1 | 1 | 1557 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Simões Super League 1 · 2021 | 32 | €1.5M | €200k | fell |
| Petros Mantalos Super League 1 · 2022 | 31 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Fayçal Fajr Super Lig · 2022 | 34 | €1.8M | €1.3M | fell |
| Fernando Boldrin Super Lig · 2021 | 32 | €1.0M | €200k | fell |
| Jasmin Kurtic Super League 1 · 2023 | 34 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| José Sosa Super Lig · 2021 | 36 | €1.8M | €200k | fell |
| Facundo Bertoglio Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2014 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Goverla | Dynamo Kyiv II | Free / loan | €400k |
| 11 Jul 2013 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Goverla | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | RVUFK Kyiv | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.