Vitaliy Buyalskyi

33 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, LM) · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€606k – €1.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€511k – €2.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€490k – €1.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.2M – €1.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€606k – €1.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€511k – €2.0M
Projected value (24 months)€490k – €1.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Vitaliy Buyalskyi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.56x the positional average in the league (1275 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average58.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable33.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €807k vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €8.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1275 (47% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
1.06
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.63
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
59 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1324
Opponent strength
1176
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€490k – €1.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output up 66% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -55% (IQR -82% to -37%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Age 33: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1275 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM25127547%691.060.63117613240.25
2024/25Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM29213279%780.630.37119214060.28
2023/24Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM23171764%1070.890.53123914580.34
2022/23Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM27234587%1270.730.45126814330.38
2021/22Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM16138585%920.710.43129615320.45
2020/21Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM20161169%560.610.30129115630.49
2019/20Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM17122262%520.520.27133414970.54
2018/19Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM17145674%100.060.10135015280.57
2017/18Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM18148175%420.360.24130215470.62
2016/17Dynamo KyivPremier LigaCM21141849%150.380.25136715660.56
2015/16Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM1896441%220.370.28134016210.54
2014/15Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM1150321%200.360.23138215730.54
2013/14Goverla Uzhgorod (- 2016)Premier LigaLM20142455%330.380.37139912430.63
2012/13Dynamo KyivPremier LigaAM1452%000.000.20116315650.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv422101—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv3150111377
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv190001532
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv4211001475
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv4210021593
2024/25Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv314700—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv4390021428
2023/24Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv19000—
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv6534111478
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv6506021519
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv5436001726
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv4356201642
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv4347011664
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv3259121496
2020/21Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv325610—
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv4359121460
2019/20Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv322800—
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv2180101570
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv7600211498
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv4245001559
2018/19Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv28301—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv9783211483
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv2172001369
2017/18Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv217100—
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingDynamo Kyiv27001463
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv4232111665
2016/17Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv214601—
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueDynamo Kyiv7403201657
2015/16Ukrainian CupDynamo Kyiv323800—
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueDynamo Kyiv7337111557

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
André Simões
Super League 1 · 2021
32€1.5M€200kfell
Petros Mantalos
Super League 1 · 2022
31€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Fayçal Fajr
Super Lig · 2022
34€1.8M€1.3Mfell
Fernando Boldrin
Super Lig · 2021
32€1.0M€200kfell
Jasmin Kurtic
Super League 1 · 2023
34€1.0M€800kfell
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Premier Liga · 2023
30€800k€400kfell
José Sosa
Super Lig · 2021
36€1.8M€200kfell
Facundo Bertoglio
Super League 1 · 2021
31€1.0M€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Aug 2014Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€400k
30 Jun 2014GoverlaDynamo Kyiv IIFree / loan€400k
11 Jul 2013Dynamo Kyiv IIGoverlaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2010RVUFK KyivDynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Vitaliy Buyalskyi · MoneyballAI