Igor Leshchuk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Igor Leshchuk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 26.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €346k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 540 (20% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1275
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €227k – €583k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -32% to +5%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 540 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 6 | 540 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1275 | 1423 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 5 | 370 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 1198 | 1445 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 15 | 1350 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1322 | 1374 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 6 | 540 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1298 | 1325 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 4 | 360 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1388 | 1374 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 3 | 270 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1440 | 1391 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | FK Dinamo Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 8 | 707 | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1395 | 1362 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 8 | 720 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | FK Dinamo Moskva | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michalis Sifakis Super League 1 · 2014 | 30 | €750k | €700k | flat |
| Nikolay Zabolotnyi Premier Liga · 2021 | 31 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Mike Vanhamel Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 29 | €700k | €550k | fell |
| Charles Liga Portugal · 2024 | 30 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Yannick Thoelen Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 29 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Jody Viviani Super League 1 · 2013 | 31 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Mattijs Branderhorst Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Fatih Öztürk Super Lig · 2017 | 31 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2018 | Dynamo M II | Dinamo Moscow | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Dynamo 2 | Dynamo M II | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Dynamo M II | Dynamo 2 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Dynamo U17 | Dynamo M II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.