Leroy Sané

The model rates Leroy Sané's performance-implied value at EUR 9.2M-21.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.3M-19.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.4M-10.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.64x the positional average in the league (2288 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2288 (75% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.47

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.25

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

89 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.40 (rank 18)

Team strength (Elo)

1501

Opponent strength

1253

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€4.4M – €10.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; changed club; team strength down (-272 Elo); league level down (-219 Elo); relative output down 31% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -70% to -41%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

53 (ATT)

Relative output kept

79%–133%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

58%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.