
Lucas Torró
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Lucas Torró's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-5.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (2307 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 79.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 32 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -54% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2307 (68% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 79 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1495
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €742k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 19 pts; relative output down 51% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -60% to -16%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 34 | 2307 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1495 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 35 | 2963 | 87% | 3 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1514 | 1484 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 28 | 1791 | 52% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1545 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 33 | 2488 | 73% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1523 | 1455 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 33 | 2733 | 80% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 1522 | 1446 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 25 | 1545 | 45% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 1560 | 1471 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 7 | 330 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1486 | 1535 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | DM | 8 | 560 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1480 | 1593 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 3 | 88 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 186 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | CA Osasuna | 2 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 5 | 493 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 125 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1299 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 184 | 1 | 0 | 1608 |
| 2018/19 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1863 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Abergel Ligue 1 · 2023 | 30 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Jens Stryger Serie A · 2021 | 30 | €4.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Stefano Sabelli Serie A · 2024 | 31 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Perparim Hetemaj Serie A · 2016 | 30 | €3.8M | €3.5M | flat |
| Glenn Whelan Premier League · 2017 | 33 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Manuel Prietl Bundesliga · 2022 | 31 | €1.8M | €450k | fell |
| Mario Götze Bundesliga · 2024 | 32 | €5.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Mike Frantz Bundesliga · 2017 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2020 | Frankfurt | CA Osasuna | €2.0M | €2.4M |
| 5 Jul 2018 | Real Madrid | Frankfurt | €3.5M | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | CA Osasuna | Real Madrid | €1.8M | €800k |
| 6 Jul 2017 | RM Castilla | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €700k |
| 30 Jun 2017 | Real Oviedo | RM Castilla | Free / loan | €700k |
| 18 Jul 2016 | RM Castilla | Real Oviedo | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2012 | Alcoyano U19 | Real Madrid U19 | €100k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Hércules Alican | Alcoyano U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.