Patrick Pentz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Patrick Pentz's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-1.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -40% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1785 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1336
- Opponent strength
- 1263
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €942k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -53% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1785 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 67 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 71%–125%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 67%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 20 | 1785 | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1263 | 1336 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 21 | 1890 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1305 | 1342 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | GK | 17 | 1530 | 77% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1285 | 1417 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | GK | 7 | 630 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1440 | 1425 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1384 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Samassa Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €2.4M | €275k | fell |
| Vasilios Barkas Eredivisie · 2024 | 30 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Markos Vellidis Super League 1 · 2016 | 29 | €1.3M | €750k | fell |
| Sammy Bossut Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 29 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Robbin Ruiter Eredivisie · 2015 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Nick Olij Eredivisie · 2024 | 29 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Zivko Zivkovic Super League 1 · 2018 | 29 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Sokratis Dioudis Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Leverkusen | Bröndby IF | €2.5M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Bröndby IF | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Leverkusen | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 27 Jan 2023 | Stade Reims | Leverkusen | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 9 Jul 2022 | Austria Vienna | Stade Reims | Free / loan | €1.7M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | A. Vienna Res. | Austria Vienna | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | AKA Salzb. U16 | A. Vienna Res. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | AKA Salzb. U15 | AKA Salzb. U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Salzburg Youth | AKA Salzb. U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 15 Nov 2006 | SV Bürmoos Youth | Salzburg Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.