Jérôme Prior
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jérôme Prior's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Market value below EUR 250k (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Below average | 26.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €88k vs market €150k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2970 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 981
- Opponent strength
- 1228
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €86k – €155k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR +0% to +13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 31: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 38 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 74%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Livingston FC | Scottish Premiership | GK | 33 | 2970 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1228 | 981 | 0.31 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | GK | 3 | 232 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1258 | 1182 | 0.37 |
| 2017/18 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | GK | 2 | 180 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1457 | 1499 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | GK | 14 | 1260 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1417 | 1507 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | GK | 13 | 1074 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1468 | 1405 | 0.78 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Livingston FC | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Girondins Bordeaux | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davino Verhulst Super League 1 · 2021 | 34 | €250k | €50k | fell |
| Lefteris Choutesiotis Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Jesper Rask Superliga · 2020 | 32 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Remi Matthews Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 29 | €350k | €400k | flat |
| Dimitar Mitov Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 27 | €500k | €800k | rose |
| Shamal George Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Gary Woods Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 29 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Lawrence Thomas Superliga · 2022 | 30 | €400k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Without Club | Livingston FC | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Pau FC | Without Club | Unknown | €600k |
| 31 Jan 2023 | PAS Giannina | Pau FC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 4 Jul 2022 | FC Cartagena | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €700k |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Valenciennes FC | FC Cartagena | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | G. Bordeaux | Valenciennes FC | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | G. Bordeaux B | G. Bordeaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.