Nabil Bentaleb
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nabil Bentaleb's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-5.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.76x the positional average in the league (1278 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 5
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 31.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.9M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1278 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1547
- Opponent strength
- 1522
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €2.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -74% to -53%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1278 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Age 32: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | DM | 26 | 1278 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 1522 | 1547 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | DM | 10 | 324 | 11% | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 1569 | 1594 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | DM | 26 | 1967 | 64% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 1487 | 1552 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | DM | 30 | 2493 | 73% | 4 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 1471 | 1221 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Angers SCO | Ligue 1 | CM | 18 | 1523 | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 1414 | 1352 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | CM | 9 | 547 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1594 | 1303 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Newcastle United | Premier League | CM | 12 | 749 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1584 | 1476 | 1.14 |
| 2018/19 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 25 | 1794 | 59% | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 1502 | 1482 | 1.05 |
| 2017/18 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | DM | 16 | 1009 | 33% | 4 | 3 | 0.62 | 0.28 | 1508 | 1618 | 1.04 |
| 2016/17 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | CM | 32 | 2554 | 83% | 5 | 4 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 1540 | 1556 | 1.06 |
| 2015/16 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CM | 5 | 167 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1595 | 1635 | 1.08 |
| 2014/15 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | DM | 26 | 2195 | 64% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1546 | 1576 | 1.06 |
| 2013/14 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CM | 15 | 1068 | 31% | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1573 | 1621 | 1.12 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 9 | 548 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Algeria | 3 | 216 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Newcastle United | 3 | 272 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 422 | 3 | 0 | 1723 |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 166 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 238 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 666 | 2 | 0 | 1568 |
| 2016/17 | Dfb Pokal | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 225 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 292 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1562 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 367 | 0 | 1 | 1498 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 4 | 202 | 0 | 0 | 1667 |
| 2013/14 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Bonaventura Serie A · 2020 | 31 | €9.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Nuri Sahin Bundesliga · 2018 | 30 | €4.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Ross Barkley Ligue 1 · 2023 | 30 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Sulley Muntari Serie A · 2014 | 30 | €4.4M | €1.5M | fell |
| Jussiê Ligue 1 · 2014 | 31 | €2.3M | €500k | fell |
| Antonio Candreva Serie A · 2020 | 33 | €5.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| José Campaña Laliga · 2022 | 29 | €6.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Emre Belözoglu Super Lig · 2014 | 34 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2023 | Angers SCO | Lille | €4.5M | €7.0M |
| 6 Jan 2022 | Without Club | Angers SCO | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Schalke 04 | Without Club | Unknown | €2.0M |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Newcastle | FC Schalke 04 | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 21 Jan 2020 | FC Schalke 04 | Newcastle | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Tottenham | FC Schalke 04 | €19.0M | €18.0M |
| 30 Jun 2017 | FC Schalke 04 | Tottenham | Free / loan | €18.0M |
| 25 Aug 2016 | Tottenham | FC Schalke 04 | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Tottenham U21 | Tottenham | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Spurs U18 | Tottenham U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2012 | Dunkerque U19 | Spurs U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Without Club | Dunkerque U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2010 | Mouscron U17 | Without Club | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | LOSC Lille Yth. | Mouscron U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.