Emil Audero
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Emil Audero's performance-implied value at EUR 2.3M-7.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-3.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 33
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €2.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3060 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 65 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1498
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 68 pts; changed club; team strength down (-162 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -36% to -12%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1498 | 1299 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | GK | 8 | 720 | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1532 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Inter Milan | Serie A | GK | 4 | 338 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1351 | 1802 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 25 | 2250 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1477 | 1271 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 29 | 2561 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1460 | 1375 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1463 | 1440 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 36 | 3240 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1434 | 1374 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | UC Sampdoria | Serie A | GK | 36 | 3240 | 95% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1451 | 1407 | 0.78 |
| 2016/17 | Juventus FC | Serie A | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1382 | 1832 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Inter Milan | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Inter Milan | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1677 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | UC Sampdoria | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Curci Serie A · 2014 | 29 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Wladimiro Falcone Serie A · 2023 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Orestis Karnezis Serie A · 2015 | 30 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Bartłomiej Drągowski Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Luigi Sepe Serie A · 2019 | 28 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Guillermo Ochoa Laliga · 2017 | 32 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Angelo da Costa Serie A · 2014 | 31 | €900k | €500k | fell |
| Finn Dahmen Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €5.0M | €12.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Cremonese | Como | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Como | Cremonese | Free / loan | €3.2M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Palermo | Como | Free / loan | €3.2M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Como | Palermo | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jul 2024 | Sampdoria | Como | €6.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Inter | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 10 Aug 2023 | Sampdoria | Inter | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Juventus | Sampdoria | €20.0M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Sampdoria | Juventus | Free / loan | €15.0M |
| 17 Jul 2018 | Juventus | Sampdoria | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Venezia | Juventus | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 8 Jul 2017 | Juventus | Venezia | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Juventus U19 | Juventus | Unknown | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Juventus U17 | Juventus U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Juventus Youth | Juventus U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Unknown | Juventus Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.