Anton Mitryushkin

30 yrs · Goalkeeper · Russia
Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€3.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€900k – €4.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€787k – €2.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.2M – €2.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.2M – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€900k – €4.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€787k – €2.1M
Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anton Mitryushkin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-4.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 18

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage54.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €2.4M vs market €3.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2610 (97% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
54 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1418
Opponent strength
1330
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.2M – €2.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 70 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -63% to -9%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
63 (all positions)
Relative output kept
61%–143%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaGK29261097%000.000.00133014180.56
2024/25Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaGK872027%000.000.00131214130.55
2022/23FC Khimki (-2025)Premier LigaGK981030%000.000.00130711510.53
2014/15FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaGK1903%000.000.00136414500.88
2013/14FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaGK21807%000.000.00142614960.92

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва19000—
2024/25Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва981000—
2022/23Russian CupFC Khimki (-2025)327000—
2013/14Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva112000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kenneth Vermeer
Eredivisie · 2015
29€6.0M€5.0Mflat
Hendrik Van Crombrugge
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
29€5.5M€1.5Mfell
Warleson
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
28€4.5M€2.0Mfell
Aleksandr Selikhov
Premier Liga · 2023
29€3.0M€900kfell
Vasilios Barkas
Eredivisie · 2023
29€3.0M€3.5Mflat
Lovre Kalinic
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
28€6.5M€2.8Mfell
Lars Unnerstall
Eredivisie · 2022
32€2.0M€3.5Mrose
Denys Boyko
Premier Liga · 2019
31€2.5M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024KhimkiLoko MoscowFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2022Dynamo DresdenKhimkiFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2021F. DüsseldorfDynamo DresdenFree / loan€250k
27 Oct 2020Without ClubF. DüsseldorfUnknown€1.8M
1 Jul 2020FC SionWithout ClubUnknown€1.8M
1 Feb 2016Spartak MoscowFC Sion€380k€1.0M
1 Jul 2015Spartak IISpartak MoscowUnknown€500k
1 Jan 2013Akademia FCSMSpartak IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.