
Anton Mitryushkin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anton Mitryushkin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-4.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 18
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 30.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.4M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2610 (97% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1418
- Opponent strength
- 1330
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 70 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -56% (IQR -63% to -9%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | GK | 29 | 2610 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1330 | 1418 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | GK | 8 | 720 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1312 | 1413 | 0.55 |
| 2022/23 | FC Khimki (-2025) | Premier Liga | GK | 9 | 810 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1307 | 1151 | 0.53 |
| 2014/15 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1364 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2013/14 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | GK | 2 | 180 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1426 | 1496 | 0.92 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 9 | 810 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | FC Khimki (-2025) | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Vermeer Eredivisie · 2015 | 29 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Hendrik Van Crombrugge Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 29 | €5.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Warleson Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 28 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Aleksandr Selikhov Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €3.0M | €900k | fell |
| Vasilios Barkas Eredivisie · 2023 | 29 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Lovre Kalinic Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 28 | €6.5M | €2.8M | fell |
| Lars Unnerstall Eredivisie · 2022 | 32 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Denys Boyko Premier Liga · 2019 | 31 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Khimki | Loko Moscow | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Dresden | Khimki | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | F. Düsseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | Free / loan | €250k |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Without Club | F. Düsseldorf | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Sion | Without Club | Unknown | €1.8M |
| 1 Feb 2016 | Spartak Moscow | FC Sion | €380k | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Spartak II | Spartak Moscow | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2013 | Akademia FCSM | Spartak II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.